Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 23, 2025

Updated Apr 24, 2025 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 11.7 field goals per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.1 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season at home.
Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.3 minutes per game playing at home this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a good matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.
The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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