Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 4/13/2025

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 13, 2025

Updated Apr 13, 2025 10:30 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has converted 3.3 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this year while playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks places in the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.5 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 17.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks slots into the 98th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.2 fouls per game on his home court this year.
In terms of three-pointers, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 35.0% rate of successful threes with the home court advantage places 7th-lowest in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 1.1 3-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).