Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season while playing at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Houston Rockets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks registers in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The Rockets have been the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Jazz, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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