Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has made 3.1 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 87th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Jazz).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks slots into the 100th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.4 fouls per game this year.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Rockets's poor 34.6% rate of made threes comes in as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The matchup against the Jazz is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).
Dillon Brooks figures to suffer a reduction in production across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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