Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has sunk 3.3 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season when playing at home.
Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.5 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Dillon Brooks has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 21.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-pointers.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.1 threes per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup.
The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.

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