Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 14.1 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Dillon Brooks has sunk 2.5 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.
Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).
The matchup against Andrew Wiggins is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when Wiggins is playing at home opposing starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 51.2% of their attempts from beyond the arc (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks places in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.5 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 34.5% rate of converted threes settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Rockets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Rockets.
Dillon Brooks will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production across the board.

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