Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 14.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Dillon Brooks has converted 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while at home.
Dillon Brooks has tallied 31.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Rockets.
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Rockets rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a hard one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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