Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Houston Rockets · Jan 18, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 9:49 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 7.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Dillon Brooks has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Portland is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Portland Trail Blazers are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (8.4).
Dillon Brooks should suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.