Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 5, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 10:04 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-141/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.2 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).
The Rockets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 18 games on their home court.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks registers in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 3.4 fouls per game this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from facing the 5th-slowest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
The matchup against the Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).