Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has made 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
Dillon Brooks has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The 9th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased possessions for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks lands in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to 3-point shots, the Rockets's subpar 32.2% rate of converted threes places 2nd-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against Boston is a tough one for scoring; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.1%).
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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