Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 8.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The rate of field goals scored against Spencer Dinwiddie has been very low (41.6%) when matched up against fellow starting SGs this year (23rd percentile).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA).

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