Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 23, 2024 6:36 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Charlotte is a strong one; when the Hornets have the home court advantage, they have given up the 6th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 24 games (16.4).
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's subpar 106.2 points per game as the away team comes in as the 9th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hornets).