Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks rates in the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for failed threes playing at home, posting a whopping 3.0 per game since the start of last season.
Dillon Brooks has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the Warriors, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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