Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks lands in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from downtown, registering 5.2 per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 31.0 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which ought to boost opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 6th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks registers in the 77th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for unsuccessful shots, compiling a whopping 6.1 per game since the start of last season.
Dillon Brooks has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (99th percentile).
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Rockets's feeble 33.2% rate of sunk threes while playing away from home rates weakest in the league since the start of last season.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 36.0% on shots from the field (worst in the NBA) against the Spurs, identifying this as a tough matchup.
Dillon Brooks figures to experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this game.