Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 10/26/2024

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets · Oct 26, 2024

Updated Oct 27, 2024 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 5.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Dillon Brooks has played 30.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Spurs).
The Houston Rockets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the San Antonio Spurs have the home court advantage (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has missed 6.1 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 77th percentile for misses .
Dillon Brooks has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (99th percentile).
In regard to shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 45.8% field goal percentage ranks 4th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a hard one for field goals; opposing starting SFs have compiled the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (36.0%).
Dillon Brooks will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production across the board.