Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Orlando Magic · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has tallied 30.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks has successfully made 95.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 10.7% higher than he's converted overall this year with the home court advantage.
Dillon Brooks will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to improve player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 13.5 rate, Dillon Brooks's shots have been reduced this year to 10.6 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.1 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one; when the Orlando Magic are away from home, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).