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Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks places in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup.

The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Dillon Brooks has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season with the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dillon Brooks has attempted a mere 10.6 shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 13.5 rate last year.

Dillon Brooks has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

In regard to three-point shots, the Rockets's feeble 31.8% rate of drained threes comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Rockets.

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