Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 30.8 minutes per game this year.
The 5th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Rockets.
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 35.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 7.3% lower than he's made overall this year when playing away from home.
Dillon Brooks has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).
The Rockets have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for scoring; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 8th-lowest FG% in the league this year (46.3%).
Dillon Brooks will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

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