Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 1.9 3-pointers per game while at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.9 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Dillon Brooks is expected to get a boost in output across the board considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has attempted just 10.6 shots from the field per game this year, significantly less than his 13.5 rate last year.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
In terms of threes, the Houston Rockets's subpar 35.1% rate of converted threes rates 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted 13.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

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