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Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Dillon Brooks has attempted 7.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.3 minutes per game this year.This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 1.9 3-pointers per game (21st-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, resulting in a positive matchup.The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.The Rockets will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Suns).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks measures in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.6 fouls per game this year.The Rockets check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.Over the last 25 games, the other team has snagged 11.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns (maintaining possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.Dillon Brooks ought to see a decline in efficiency for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.
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