Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has sunk 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Dillon Brooks has played 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 83rd percentile.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, creating a good matchup.
The 6th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 100th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.6 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Houston Rockets's subpar 108.2 points per game ranks 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Grizzlies).
Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, struggling to get to the foul line.
Dillon Brooks will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production for all stats.

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