Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.1 minutes per game at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, branding this as a positive matchup.
The 4th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.3 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Houston Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New York Knicks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Rockets rank 9thworst in in the league when playing at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. New York may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Knicks are the visiting team (9th-least in the league).