Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has sunk 39.4% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 29.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 6.7 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 3.2 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Rockets rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can spark more chances for offense).
The matchup vs. Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are away from home (10th-least in the league).