Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 1:14 AM UTC

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
In regard to treys, the Houston Rockets's terrific 39.0% rate of sunk threes places 5th-highest in the league this year.
The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has attempted just 10.4 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 13.5 mark last season.
Dillon Brooks has attempted a mere 4.5 three-pointers per game this year, significantly less than his 6.1 rate last year.
Dillon Brooks has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 9.2 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.

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