Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 32.6% rate, Dillon Brooks's three-point effectiveness has spiked this year to 50.1%.
The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should raise plays for the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).
As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the foul line: 7th-best in the NBA since the start of last season, tallying 25.4 free throw attempts per game.
Dillon Brooks will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has attempted a lowly 9.8 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 13.5 mark last year.
Dillon Brooks has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs since the start of last season (12.3).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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