Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has made a terrific 51.7% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit higher than his 39.5 mark last season.
In contrast to last year's 32.6% clip, Dillon Brooks's three-point proficiency has jumped this year to 50.7%.
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has averaged 46.0% on field goals (10th-weakest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has committed 3.7 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one; when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs since the start of last season (13.1).
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo home team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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