Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has tallied 14.1 points per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Dillon Brooks has converted 1.9 3-pointers per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Dillon Brooks places in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game since the start of last season.
This matchup is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Pelicans have the home court advantage, opposing teams have compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (31.4%).
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Pelicans).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from home since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Pelicans are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 13th-least buckets per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.0).
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league while playing at home this year.
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has brought down 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (lengthening possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).