Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 9:56 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 20.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from home, 3.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Dillon Brooks has successfully made 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's made from three overall this season when playing away from home.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (11.1).
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (11th-least in the NBA).