Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 7.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (23rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The matchup against Golden State is a challenging one for field goals; when the Warriors are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 14th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The Warriors have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies.
Dillon Brooks has successfully made 64.5% of his free throws over the last 15 games, -13.8% lower than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.