Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 20.0 shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 3.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Dillon Brooks has converted 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's converted overall this season on the road.
Dillon Brooks has tallied 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.6 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year in terms of three-pointers.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.2).
The matchup vs. Denver may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (11th-least in the league).
Dillon Brooks will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduces player production across the board.

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