Dillon Brooks Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has attempted 5.9 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.
Dillon Brooks has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted in all games this year.
Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games while playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 26.2 foul shots per game when playing at home this year (least in the league).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.

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