Dillon Brooks Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+136/-179).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +139 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Bucks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance across the board.

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