Dillon Brooks Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has compiled 2.7 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this metric in recent games.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.6 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (99th percentile).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Dillon Brooks will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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