Dillon Brooks Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has tallied 2.7 assists per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric recently.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Grizzlies.

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