Desmond Bane Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Desmond Bane

NBA · Player Props

Desmond Bane

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 4:36 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Bane Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Desmond Bane has successfully made 3.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Desmond Bane has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one; when the Mavericks are away from home, they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (16.7).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Desmond Bane has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Grizzlies.
The matchup against Dallas may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (12th-least in the league).

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