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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 6/14/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 50.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.7% more than he's made from three over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 31.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 6.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a good matchup.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 23.8% more than he's converted in all games this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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