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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 6.7 shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.5 rate last season.

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.4 3-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.2 mark last year.

In regard to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 120.9 points per game settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (28th-most in the league) against the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup.

The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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