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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted overall this season while at home.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league this year.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has made 92.0% of his free throw attempts when playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have shot 43.3% on field goal attempts (11th-weakest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
  • The Clippers have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Away from their home court, the Clippers have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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