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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 5.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

The Mavericks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

This year when they are away from home, the other team has captured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 2.7 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a challenging matchup.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, making it tough to draw fouls.

Derrick Jones Jr. should suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this contest.

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