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Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Jones Jr. has posted an impressive 9.9 points per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.8 points per game last year.

Relative to last year's 1.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 4.2 per game.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 13.5 points per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a hard matchup for offensive productivity.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

More Derrick Jones Jr. Player Props

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