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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has averaged 2.7 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.
  • The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dereck Lively II has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the league while playing away from home with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
  • Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
  • Dereck Lively II will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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