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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has totaled 2.8 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).

Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has captured 10.0 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II measures in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production for all stats.

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