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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has posted 3.2 offensive boards per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.

The most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The Mavericks rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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