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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has tallied 3.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

This year when they are away from home, the other team has captured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (95th percentile).

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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