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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has tallied 6.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
  • The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.2 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Dereck Lively II should see a decline in performance for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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