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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has tallied 2.8 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 96th percentile.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.
  • Dereck Lively II figures to see an increase in effectiveness across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.1 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while playing at home with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 14.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).

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