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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

Dereck Lively II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has put up 3.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.7 higher than he's put up overall this year on the road.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

Dereck Lively II will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.4 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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