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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has made 77.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.4% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 6th percentile for 3-point attempts at home, registering 0.0 per game this year.

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year.

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league as the home team this year has been the Mavericks.

The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a difficult one for three-point shots; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have finished with a measly 0.4 three-point shots per game (3rd percentile).

The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; when Jokic is on the visiting team and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game (23rd percentile).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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