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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has sunk 79.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 9.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA at home with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Dereck Lively II will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 three-point shots per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Dereck Lively II has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage in terms of three-point attempts.

The number of shots from downtown made against Nikola Jokic has been quite low (0.3 per game) when he is on the visiting team and squaring off against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when Jokic is playing on the road and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game (23rd percentile).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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