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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 98th percentile for scoring performance while playing at home with an exceptional 71.7% rate this year.
  • The 6th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Dereck Lively II will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game while at home this year, ranking in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Dereck Lively II has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
  • The number of shots from behind the three-point arc scored against Anthony Davis has been remarkably low (0.4 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
  • The Mavericks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

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